Pakistan Faces Severe Economic Vulnerability as Chinese CPEC Obligations Swell to $30 Billion in External Debt

China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has significantly increased Pakistan’s external obligations to China as its now constitutes approximately $30 billion of the country’s external debt. High loan interest rates and foreign currency financing create serious debt pressure, making successful project implementation more vulnerable to economic and political risks, according to an article in a Kyrgyzstan newspaper.

Of the 90 planned projects in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) only 38 have been completed and the Gwadar Port as well as the airport operate on a limited scale, highlighting the gap between ambitious plans and actual implementation, the article in 24.kg states.

The project also faces security and social perception challenges. In Balochistan, local initiatives call for a more balanced approach, ensuring that residents’ interests are considered alongside major investment goals, it further says.

Of the nine Special Economic Zones (SEZs), active development is observed in only three, while the others remain in planning or discussion stages. This underscores institutional challenges and the need for more coordinated actions to achieve the original ambitions.

The article also highlights that the project exerts pressure on the environment: increasing resource consumption and emissions require strengthened monitoring and the adoption of sustainable solutions; otherwise, risks to ecosystems could be significant.

CPEC is developing against the backdrop of changes in international relations. New partnerships create opportunities for investment diversification but also reveal the vulnerability of a model overly dependent on a single key partner.

CPEC 2.0 demonstrates that even large, ambitious initiatives require flexibility, careful management, and consideration of real economic, institutional, and social conditions. The project remains strategically important, but its implementation faces serious challenges, making plan adaptation inevitable and highlighting the need for a strategic approach and balanced risk allocation, the article observes.

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), previously announced as the flagship project of the Belt and Road Initiative, has undergone significant changes. Launched in 2015 with an investment of $46 billion the project was originally intended to become a transformational platform for Pakistan’s infrastructure and a strategic corridor for China. Over ten years, it has turned from an ambitious mega-project into a scaled-down project that must adapt to new realities.

By 2025, the project entered a new phase — CPEC 2.0 — prioritizing industrial zones, agriculture, and extractive industries instead of large-scale mega-projects. This adaptation reflects not only the practical realities of infrastructure implementation and financial constraints but also certain governance and coordination challenges affecting the speed and quality of execution, the article added.

 

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[Pirthpall Sekhon]

Kyrgyzstan has punjabi genes and closely follows events in its motherland. Turkmenistan the other users of the Wah Khan safe passageways to eastern Turkmenistan wasn't allowed to pass through the Panj Sher valley unlike the Tajiks. The sikh gurus protected the Panj Sher Valley as the continuation of Khuda Nimr legacies. That's the reason the captain of the dhow transporting the gems from the area prayed to the sikh guru to save his dhow and then kept aside the 500 gems and not sold them in Muscat. Upon his return he turned up looking for the sikh guru and was told that there wasn't one. He went searching along the Ganges River and proclaimed the ninth sikh guru. A Muslim proclaiming the guru of another religion who sacrificed his own head to save the pandits. These are facts.