Opinion Taking Lessons from Past Experience, Why India Should Not Pursue New MMRCA Tender to Fill IAF's Dwindling Squadron

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India's pursuit of 114 new foreign fighter jets has reignited the debate surrounding the Indian Air Force's (IAF) dwindling squadron strength. While the need for new aircraft is undeniable, the wisdom of launching another costly and time-consuming Medium Multi-Role Combat Aircraft (MMRCA) competition is questionable.

This article argues that, given past experiences and current realities, India should opt for a more pragmatic approach to fulfill the IAF's urgent requirements.

The MMRCA Déjà Vu​

The IAF's previous MMRCA competition, initiated in 2008, culminated in the selection of the Dassault Rafale. However, protracted negotiations and various issues ultimately led to the cancellation of the deal and a subsequent government-to-government (G2G) purchase of 36 Rafales in 2015.

Re-opening a competition now, especially with a similar set of contenders, seems redundant and risks repeating the same diplomatic and political complications that plagued the previous attempt.

Furthermore, choosing a different fighter this time would implicitly criticize the earlier Rafale selection, undermining the credibility of India's defense evaluation process. While the government may be seeking to avoid controversy, a new competition could ironically generate the very political scrutiny it aims to prevent.

Mismatched Contenders and Strategic Considerations​

The current field of potential contenders presents a puzzling mix of single- and twin-engine fighters, spanning different weight classes. This raises questions about the IAF's specific requirements. Why consider single-engine jets like the F-21 and Gripen if the focus is on twin-engine aircraft?

Similarly, evaluating Russian fighters like the MiG-35 and Su-35 seems illogical given the IAF's existing fleet and its reservations about Russian platforms.

The American F/A-18 and F-15EX, while technologically advanced, are heavy fighters and unlikely to be favored by the IAF. Choosing American fighters could also expose India to criticism of succumbing to US pressure, especially given their past disappointment in the MMRCA competition.

The Rafale: A Pragmatic Choice​

Given these factors, the Rafale remains the most logical option. It is already operational within the IAF, with established training and logistics infrastructure. India has also invested significantly in India-specific enhancements for the Rafale. A larger G2G deal with France would ensure operational consistency and further strengthen the strategic partnership between the two nations.

Cost-Effective Alternatives and Time Constraints​

If budget constraints are a major concern, the Swedish Gripen presents a compelling alternative. This single-engine fighter offers advanced capabilities, including an electronic warfare suite and compatibility with existing Indian missile systems.

Sweden's openness to technology transfer further adds to its attractiveness. However, choosing Gripen may not provide the same geopolitical benefits associated with larger defense deals.

The urgency of addressing the IAF's dwindling squadron strength is paramount. Any new fighter acquisition must prioritize rapid delivery timelines. Some contenders, however, are hampered by production backlogs and supply chain challenges, potentially delaying induction and defeating the purpose of the acquisition.

Empowering Private Industry​

This acquisition presents an opportunity to revitalize India's domestic aerospace industry. Instead of relying solely on Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL), the government should empower capable private enterprises to lead the manufacturing effort. This would foster competition, innovation, and potentially expedite production timelines.

Conclusion: A Call for Pragmatism​

India must avoid repeating past mistakes. Instead of launching another protracted MMRCA competition, the government should make a decisive choice based on the IAF's needs, cost considerations, delivery timelines, and long-term strategic goals. Expanding the Rafale fleet or opting for a cost-effective alternative like the Gripen would be more prudent than embarking on another potentially inconclusive competition.

It's time to end the debate and equip the IAF with the necessary resources without further delay. Defense procurement should be a strategic imperative, not a political spectacle.
 

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