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Despite reports of Azerbaijan's interest in acquiring Indian-made weaponry, defence analysts assert that such a deal is unlikely unless Baku significantly shifts its foreign policy stance on Kashmir.
Azerbaijan's close relationship with Pakistan, and its support for Pakistan's position on the Kashmir issue, presents a major obstacle to any potential defence cooperation with India.
Analysts emphasize that India will not entertain the idea of selling arms to Azerbaijan unless Baku distances itself from Islamabad and aligns with India's position on Kashmir. This highlights the deep intertwining of geopolitics and defence trade, particularly in sensitive regions like South Asia.
According to reports, Azerbaijan is particularly interested in acquiring Indian-made artillery guns, specifically the Advanced Towed Artillery Gun System (ATAGS). This interest follows Armenia's recent procurement of 90 ATAGS from India.
Developed by the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO), the ATAGS boasts a superior range compared to other 155mm guns currently in service globally, extending up to 48 kilometers with specialized ammunition.
The ATAGS represents a significant technological leap, incorporating advanced features like an all-electric drive, automated ammunition handling, and sophisticated communication systems. These features make it a formidable weapon in terms of range, accuracy, operational flexibility, and maintenance.
Azerbaijan's interest in the ATAGS suggests a potential diversification in its sources of military equipment, traditionally dominated by suppliers like Turkey and Israel. However, analysts are firm in their assessment that any significant defence deal with India hinges on a clear strategic realignment from Azerbaijan, particularly regarding its approach to the Kashmir conflict.
While the interest in Indian weapons systems by Azerbaijan could potentially open a new chapter in India-Azerbaijan relations, the path forward is laden with diplomatic complexities. For India, selling arms to a nation closely aligned with Pakistan on the Kashmir issue is a non-starter.
If Azerbaijan were to recalibrate its foreign policy in line with Indian expectations, it could trigger a notable shift in the military balance in the South Caucasus, potentially influencing the long-standing Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict.