A recent analysis by the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), a highly respected European defence think-tank, has dispelled claims that the Chinese-made J-10C fighter jet offers the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) an advantage over the Indian Air Force's (IAF) Rafale.
The report definitively concludes that the Rafale maintains superiority in key areas crucial for modern aerial combat.
The RUSI analysis, authored by airpower expert Justin Bronk, directly addressed claims often promoted by Pakistani defence circles and some Chinese media outlets. These claims suggested the J-10C, a 4.5-generation multirole fighter, provided a decisive edge in beyond-visual-range (BVR) combat due to its Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar and PL-15 air-to-air missile.
Such assertions arose amidst speculation of Pakistan acquiring the J-10C to offset India's procurement of 36 Rafale jets from France's Dassault Aviation in 2016.
Bronk's assessment acknowledges the J-10C's AESA radar and PL-15 missile as potential threats to non-stealth aircraft. However, the analysis firmly establishes the Rafale's dominance in realistic combat scenarios, especially at long ranges where BVR engagements are paramount.
The report highlights the Rafale's superior kinematic performance – its ability to maneuver, accelerate, and maintain high speeds. Powered by twin Snecma M88 engines, the Rafale's aerodynamic design allows it to conserve energy during complex maneuvers, a vital advantage in both dogfights and BVR engagements.
While the J-10C is agile, its less powerful WS-10 engine (or AL-31F in export models) results in a lower thrust-to-weight ratio, limiting its kinematic performance compared to the Rafale.
Furthermore, the Rafale possesses a significant advantage in electronic warfare (EW) capabilities. Its Spectra electronic warfare suite, developed by Thales, offers advanced electronic countermeasures, radar jamming, and infrared decoy capabilities.
Spectra significantly improves the Rafale's survivability by disrupting enemy radar and missile guidance, making it difficult for adversaries to achieve a solid lock. The RUSI report explicitly states the J-10C is "unlikely to be able to match the Rafale for electronic warfare capabilities."
Crucially, the analysis compares the Rafale's MBDA Meteor missile with the J-10C's PL-15E. The Meteor, considered one of the world's most advanced air-to-air missiles, utilizes a ramjet propulsion system, maintaining high speed and providing an exceptional range (reportedly exceeding 200 km) and a large no-escape zone. This makes it highly effective against maneuvering targets at long distances.
The Meteor's sustained speed and energy, a result of the ramjet, offer a distinct advantage over the PL-15E, which relies on a traditional rocket motor that loses energy over distance. While publicly available data indicates that the range of PL-15 is around 145 Km.
The RUSI assessment reinforces the strategic importance of India's Rafale acquisition. The 36 Rafale jets, stationed at Ambala and Hasimara airbases, have proven their operational value along India's borders. The aircraft's dominance in BVR combat scenarios strengthens the IAF's deterrence capabilities, particularly amidst ongoing tensions with China and Pakistan.