Learning From Op Sindoor, IAF Eyeing Massive 56-squadron Force to Counter Growing China-Pak Military Nexus

Learning From Op Sindoor, IAF Eyeing Massive 56-squadron Force to Counter Growing China-Pak Military Nexus


In the wake of the successful 'Operation Sindoor' airstrikes in May 2025, the Indian Air Force (IAF) is reportedly advancing a major proposal to increase its combat fleet to an unprecedented 56 squadrons.

According to a recent report by The Tribune, this initiative aims to revise a decades-old policy from the 1980s, when the Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS) had sanctioned a force of 42 squadrons to effectively manage a potential two-front war with China and Pakistan.

Military sources indicate that the existing ceiling of 42 squadrons, each typically comprising 16 to 18 aircraft, is now considered inadequate.

An internal assessment following the recent operation has recommended a substantial 30-35% increase in strength.

This strategic reassessment is a direct response to the escalating military collaboration between China and Pakistan and the rapid technological upgrades being made to their respective air forces.

The lessons from 'Operation Sindoor' reportedly highlighted the critical need for a larger and more technologically advanced IAF to maintain air superiority in the region.

The threat landscape has evolved significantly since the original 42-squadron mandate was established.

The Pakistan Air Force (PAF) is modernising its fleet with Chinese support, inducting advanced fighters like the J-10CE and the JF-17 Block III, which are equipped with the PL-15E beyond-visual-range air-to-air missile (BVRAAM) with a reported range of over 145 km.

Concurrently, China’s People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) presents a formidable challenge with over 2,000 combat aircraft, including the J-20 stealth fighter and its own PL-15 missiles capable of engaging targets from 200-300 km away.

This push for expansion comes at a critical time for the IAF. With the scheduled retirement of the last remaining squadron of MiG-21 fighters on September 19, 2025, the IAF's squadron strength is projected to fall to 29, its lowest point in over six decades.

To reverse this decline and address the numerical and technological disparity with its adversaries, the proposal aims to secure CCS approval for a new sanctioned strength of 54 to 56 squadrons, which would translate to a force of approximately 864 to 1,008 modern fighter jets.

To achieve this ambitious target, the IAF has outlined a multi-pronged strategy that balances indigenous manufacturing with strategic foreign acquisitions:
  • Indigenous Tejas Program: The cornerstone of India's self-reliance in defence, the plan involves the induction of 220 Tejas Mk1A aircraft (forming about 12 squadrons). This will be followed by the more advanced Tejas Mk2, a medium-weight fighter expected around 2030, which will add another 6-7 squadrons to the fleet.
  • Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA): For the long term, India is developing its own fifth-generation stealth fighter, the AMCA. The project aims to deliver 6-7 squadrons by 2035, with significant design and development contributions from Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) and an indigenous engine being co-developed by GTRE and France's Safran.
  • Further Rafale Acquisition: Building on the proven capability of its existing 36 Rafale jets, the IAF is pursuing the acquisition of an additional 114 aircraft. These multirole fighters would constitute 6-7 squadrons capable of performing a wide range of missions, from air dominance to precision ground strikes.
  • Su-30 MKI Upgrades: The backbone of the IAF, the fleet of 272 Su-30 MKIs (roughly 13 squadrons), is undergoing comprehensive upgrades. The "Super Sukhoi" program will equip them with advanced indigenous radar, avionics, and next-generation missiles, ensuring they remain formidable for years to come.
  • Strengthened Air Defence: The strategy extends beyond fighter jets, calling for the expansion of India's multi-layered air defence network. Systems like the S-400, Barak-8, and the indigenous Akash, which proved effective during 'Operation Sindoor', will be further integrated to protect critical assets and enable offensive air operations.
However, this path to expansion faces considerable challenges. The plan is heavily reliant on the production capacity of HAL, which has faced delays in past projects.

Furthermore, the high cost of foreign acquisitions, with the Rafale deal alone estimated at over $20 billion, will require significant financial commitment and navigating complex international negotiations.

The success of this crucial modernization effort will depend on sustained political will, streamlined procurement processes, and a robust domestic defence industrial base.
 
It seems according to the latest news IAF wanted to induct 56 squadrons, for this two or three companies besides HAL should make jets locally, if we only depend on HAL we are doomed.
 
~60 by 2045, and that's without unmanned considerations. We also need more strategic and tactical airlifters, air-to-air refuellers (we have 6 of them for such a large AF), more AWACS (around 24-30), replacing aging An-32 and Mi-17s, and also more ELINT aircraft.
 
We are not living in the 1980s anymore. The requirement for 42 Sq should be updated to at least 56 Sq by 2045 if possible. The reason is the ever-increasing Chinese PLAAF Sq. Their fleets are increasing and the same is in the PAF. So, we can't stick to the 42 Sq mandate forever.
 
Current strength is below 30 and we never achieved 42 squadrons...This 42-squadron assessment is very old...the way the entire Indian subcontinent is heating up...IAF needs at least 55 squadrons...appropriately above 60...to achieve that we have to induct nearly 50 jets every year...Our indigenous programs have to be fast-tracked...we can not rely entirely on indigenous programs...apart from 114 Rafale...IAF should go for an additional SU-57 squadron and if needed go for an additional SU-30 as well...One more thing the Government should do...India needs overseas bases in this region...We have to change our mindset now...China has increased its presence massively...US also building bases....India has to follow...
 
It seems according to the latest news IAF wanted to induct 56 squadrons, for this two or three companies besides HAL should make jets locally, if we only depend on HAL we are doomed.
I think India should go for a 60-squadron fleet by 2047.
  1. 7 squadrons of Rafale (158 jets)
  2. 8 squadrons of Su-30MKI (180 jets)
  3. 10 squadrons of HAL Tejas MK1A (220 jets)
  4. 5 squadrons of Su-57 (114 jets)
  5. 15 squadrons of HAL Tejas MK2 (330 jets)
  6. 15 squadrons of AMCA (330 jets)
 
LCA Mk1 - 220 (11 sq), LCA Mk2 - 200 (10 sq), Rafale - 150 (8 sq), Sukhoi - 272 (14 sq), = 43 sq. This leaves us with a gap of 12-13 sq (squadrons) for a 5th gen fighter. It should be divided into 80 AMCA Mk1 + 130 AMCA Mk2, to be achieved by 2045. Post this, Sukhoi will start retiring, and 6th gen fighters should start induction to replace them.
 
Ppl are saying we need 56, 70, etc. First, let us have 42 first. We are nowhere close if we remove aged ones. Pathetic planning and lack of seriousness. Imagine if we faced two wars.
 
I don't know how we're going to do this, but we need around 70 squadrons by 2050.
You are saying we need to add 40 more squadrons along with phasing out at least older 10 squadrons to reach 70 strength basic maths says almost 2 squadrons per year like bro I can't I can't even dream of it with the current pace here we are not even getting 10 aircrafts a year forget 40 a year.
 
China is geographical nightmare for land forces from our side due to Himalayas,China never fought an air war with ,not even in 1962 ,nor did our airforce ,did a single logistic or offensive action . So exactly what's the talk about ?? China mainland via Japan is plain but here we can't even liberte Tibbet, so it's good that we dream of stealth and air war .
 
Some of these targets are ridiculous.

If India had 500 multirole aircrafts, 200 stealth and 300 4.5+ gen new ones, it would be in a great place.

Just need good engines to have a long operational life.
 
India must have 140 Squadrons or 2520 Planes to counter China Pakistan Turkiye and Saudi Arabia Qatar axis. In my view Life Cycle Cost of Mig 35 is 745 Crore, Su 57 M1E is 1000 Crore, Old Tranche 3 & 4 Eurofighter is 1500 Crore and Rafele is 2205 Crore.

India must buy 50 Squadron or 900 Planes of Empty Mig 35 with Soloviev D30 F6M Engines for 1.80 Lac Crore, 22 Squadrons around 400 Empty SU57 M1E with AL51F1 Engines for Rs. 1.6 Lac Crore and 14 Squadrons or 252 Planes of Old Eurofighter Tranche 3 & 4 with Captor AESA and Pirate IRST/FLIR for 2.1 Lac Crore. Besides this 15 Modernized Squadrons of Su 30MKI and 22 Squadrons of LCA Mk 1A/Mk2, 8 Rafaele Squadrons and 9 Squadrons of AMCA. Total 140 Squadrons Purchase cum Modernisation will cost 16 Lac Crore including Home Grown Tejas & AMCA and 6 Squadrons of Rafaele and Su 30MKI Modernisation of whole fleet. 1552 fighters of Mig 35 with Indian Israeli Avionics+ Pirate FLIR Avionics, Su57M1 with Indian Israeli Avionics+Pirate IRST and Old Tranche 3 & 4 Eurofighter will cost 7.67 Lac Crore Rest Tejas Mk1A & Mk 2, AMCA Rafael Su30MKI upgrade =8.33 Lac Crore.

40 Lac Crore will be total life cycle cost for 50 Years means 80000 Crore per Year. The Cost includes 6x2 & 3x2 Engines including Spares Engines, 3x Indian Israeli British Avionics Upgrade, 9x Armaments as War Ready, Modernisation, Upgrade, etc.
 
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250-Tejas mk1A vs Jf17block3
250-Tejas mk2 Vs J20
100 Rafael Vs J10C
250 super sukhoi Vs J20
100 Su57 Vs j35 or j36
Will make India tackle pak+china+Saudi Arabia + Bangladesh + Turkey
 

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