With the latest U.S. military action to depose Maduro regime in Venezuela with the world's largest oil reserves oil, seemingly, being the primary driver; Trump has more or less replicated the playbook of the proverbial geopolitical villain, Putin. However, it is likely to have far reaching implications & ramifications for the world order, which is, rather, already in a disorder mode, with scant regard for international rules, laws, regulations, norms and even institutions. The likely ramifications of the same include:-
1. It is likely to favour Russia the most and duly support Putin’s very similar, strategic rhetoric of protecting its strategic backyard & operating space regionally, via its ongoing strategic military operation & actions in Ukraine, while also duly exposing the American hypocrisy on political sovereignty under Trump with his little regard for democratic values, principles and institutions. In a way, American military actions in Venezuela have indirectly & discreetly granted legitimacy to Putin’s invasion of Ukraine and annexation of territory.
2. It will further reduce the existing demarcation between democracies & authoritarian regimes, already made nebulous with Trump’s actions, while also undermining & eroding the trust in democratic systems & values and whatever stability is left & overall hope in the resurrection of traditional, rules-based world order. Further, it will also give an inadvertent & undue acknowledgement, recognition & boost to authoritarianism and authoritarian ways going forward with disregard for international laws & rules globally.
3. It sets a dangerous precedent for the rest of the world, especially China, regarding its longstanding claim over Taiwan and territorial claims & disputes in the South China Sea with its neighbours. American actions will only incentivize China to undertake similar military actions and use of force to invade Taiwan in future and to annex disputed islands in the South China Sea with impunity and without consideration for international laws or political sovereignty.
4. Further, any subsequent, potential American military intervention to support Taiwan, which is highly unlikely under Trump, will only be purely a hollow one and devoid of any ideological values of defending liberty or political sovereignty and will purely be on a self-interest basis. It, thus, effectively undermines America’s credibility to protect & support even its traditional allies in Asia against Chinese belligerence and undermines America’s longstanding global network of military alliances which has been the bedrock of its global domination & hegemony.
5. Signals an overt move by America, under Trump, towards geoeconomics, with a clear imperialistic streak & strand to it, instead of its traditional values of defending liberty as virtually the lighthouse of the free world, as envisioned by its founding fathers and political luminaries. The same is likely to plunge the world into utter chaos geopolitically with realpolitik, authoritarianism & a strongmen deal-making approach & bounty sharing to international affairs & matters set to rule the roost going forward triggering the onset of another phase where leading geopolitical powers vie for regional territorial gains with the troika of Trump, Putin and Xi set to formally be the geopolitical rule-makers and dealmakers of the world with interests set to reign supreme with little regard & consideration for values, ideologies or principles.
6. The global defense spending, which is already projected to touch the historic level of $3 trillion for 2025, is likely to witness a further surge going forward as geopolitical chaos with virtual evaporation of rules & regulations is all set to trigger a cascading chain reaction of fear & insecurity which will invariable translate into increased defense spending globally as every nation vies to effectively defend itself, counter threats and deter potential belligerents.
7. Lastly, it is likely to promote and give a huge fillip to nuclear proliferation globally, especially in the context of authoritarian regimes facing existential threats, as underscored by American inaction against a nuclear North Korea for decades while non-nuclear regimes, namely Iran & Venezuela, have been duly attacked by America. Going nuclear, thus, clearly emerges as a potential bulwark and an impregnable security shield for authoritarian regimes facing existential threats and is only likely to incentivise Iran’s return to nuclear ways with a restart to its nuclear weapons program likely after enduring American and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities earlier in June 2025...
1. It is likely to favour Russia the most and duly support Putin’s very similar, strategic rhetoric of protecting its strategic backyard & operating space regionally, via its ongoing strategic military operation & actions in Ukraine, while also duly exposing the American hypocrisy on political sovereignty under Trump with his little regard for democratic values, principles and institutions. In a way, American military actions in Venezuela have indirectly & discreetly granted legitimacy to Putin’s invasion of Ukraine and annexation of territory.
2. It will further reduce the existing demarcation between democracies & authoritarian regimes, already made nebulous with Trump’s actions, while also undermining & eroding the trust in democratic systems & values and whatever stability is left & overall hope in the resurrection of traditional, rules-based world order. Further, it will also give an inadvertent & undue acknowledgement, recognition & boost to authoritarianism and authoritarian ways going forward with disregard for international laws & rules globally.
3. It sets a dangerous precedent for the rest of the world, especially China, regarding its longstanding claim over Taiwan and territorial claims & disputes in the South China Sea with its neighbours. American actions will only incentivize China to undertake similar military actions and use of force to invade Taiwan in future and to annex disputed islands in the South China Sea with impunity and without consideration for international laws or political sovereignty.
4. Further, any subsequent, potential American military intervention to support Taiwan, which is highly unlikely under Trump, will only be purely a hollow one and devoid of any ideological values of defending liberty or political sovereignty and will purely be on a self-interest basis. It, thus, effectively undermines America’s credibility to protect & support even its traditional allies in Asia against Chinese belligerence and undermines America’s longstanding global network of military alliances which has been the bedrock of its global domination & hegemony.
5. Signals an overt move by America, under Trump, towards geoeconomics, with a clear imperialistic streak & strand to it, instead of its traditional values of defending liberty as virtually the lighthouse of the free world, as envisioned by its founding fathers and political luminaries. The same is likely to plunge the world into utter chaos geopolitically with realpolitik, authoritarianism & a strongmen deal-making approach & bounty sharing to international affairs & matters set to rule the roost going forward triggering the onset of another phase where leading geopolitical powers vie for regional territorial gains with the troika of Trump, Putin and Xi set to formally be the geopolitical rule-makers and dealmakers of the world with interests set to reign supreme with little regard & consideration for values, ideologies or principles.
6. The global defense spending, which is already projected to touch the historic level of $3 trillion for 2025, is likely to witness a further surge going forward as geopolitical chaos with virtual evaporation of rules & regulations is all set to trigger a cascading chain reaction of fear & insecurity which will invariable translate into increased defense spending globally as every nation vies to effectively defend itself, counter threats and deter potential belligerents.
7. Lastly, it is likely to promote and give a huge fillip to nuclear proliferation globally, especially in the context of authoritarian regimes facing existential threats, as underscored by American inaction against a nuclear North Korea for decades while non-nuclear regimes, namely Iran & Venezuela, have been duly attacked by America. Going nuclear, thus, clearly emerges as a potential bulwark and an impregnable security shield for authoritarian regimes facing existential threats and is only likely to incentivise Iran’s return to nuclear ways with a restart to its nuclear weapons program likely after enduring American and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities earlier in June 2025...
