French Rafale Jet's Rising Costs and Rigid Contracts Could Soon Deter Potential Buyers, Opening Door for KF-21 and Tejas Mk2

French Rafale Jet's Rising Costs and Rigid Contracts Could Soon Deter Potential Buyers, Opening Door for KF-21 and Tejas Mk2


For many years, the Dassault Rafale, a multirole fighter jet from France, has been recognized globally for its advanced technology, adaptability, and proven combat record.

However, the Rafale's dominance might soon be challenged, not by established rivals such as the F-35 or Su-57, but by two newer aircraft: South Korea's KF-21 Boramae and India's Tejas Mk2.

These emerging fighters offer similar, and in some cases, superior, capabilities at a significantly lower price point, highlighting what some analysts view as a vulnerability in the Rafale's business model: its high cost.

The Rafale has always been positioned as a high-end product, with a price to match. While its sophisticated radar, electronic warfare capabilities, and versatility have secured contracts in countries like India, Qatar, and Egypt, the associated long-term costs are becoming a concern.

Maintenance, upgrades, and the integration of weapons systems for the Rafale are expensive, a financial burden that some nations are finding increasingly difficult to justify.

India's experience provides a clear example. In 2016, India agreed to purchase 36 Rafale jets for approximately $8.7 billion, a deal intended to significantly enhance its air force capabilities.

However, integrating India's own domestically-produced weapons, such as the Astra air-to-air missile and the Smart Anti-Airfield Weapon (SAAW), has resulted in substantial additional expenses.

Reports indicate that India is spending millions more to adapt these systems to the French aircraft, a cost that might have been avoided with a more flexible platform.

This issue of high upgrade costs is not limited to India; it is a recurring problem for Rafale operators, and it is starting to diminish the aircraft's attractiveness.

The KF-21 Boramae and Tejas Mk2 are emerging as strong competitors, offering competitive performance at a more affordable price.

The KF-21, a 4.5-generation fighter developed by Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) in South Korea, is designed to compete with aircraft like the Rafale and Eurofighter Typhoon.

Featuring an Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar, advanced avionics, and compatibility with a broad range of current weapons, the KF-21 presents an attractive package.

Its estimated unit cost is around $65 million, significantly less than the Rafale's estimated price of over $120 million. The final cost of Rafale is subject to the specific configuration and associated equipment, but publicly available figures and estimates consistently place it well above the KF-21.

India's Tejas Mk2, an improved version of the domestically-produced Tejas Mk1, is expected to be operational by the late 2020s. It boasts an upgraded GE F414 engine, improved avionics, and seamless integration with Indian-made weapons like the Astra and BrahMos missiles.

The Tejas Mk2 is designed for affordability and self-sufficiency. With an estimated price of $50-60 million per unit, it is considerably cheaper than the Rafale while offering a level of customization that Dassault has been less willing to provide.

A key advantage of both the KF-21 and Tejas Mk2 is their cost-effective design. They are built with open architectures, simplifying weapons integration and upgrades, and therefore reducing the long-term financial strain on the countries operating them. For nations that are wary of France's high pricing and strict contract terms, these aircraft offer a more appealing alternative.

Beyond the financial aspect, the KF-21 and Tejas Mk2 are also making technological advancements. The KF-21's AESA radar, developed by Hanwha Systems, is comparable to the Rafale's RBE2-AA, and its electronic warfare system is designed for advanced survivability.

South Korea has also collaborated with international partners, including Lockheed Martin, ensuring the aircraft benefits from established expertise without the high costs associated with a completely Western-developed platform.

The Tejas Mk2 leverages India's expanding defence manufacturing capabilities. Its Uttam AESA radar and locally-produced missile systems provide a solution tailored to India's needs and those of potential export customers.

While the Rafale often requires costly modifications to integrate non-French weapons, the Tejas Mk2 is designed to incorporate India's existing weaponry from the outset, a potential advantage for buyers in Asia and other regions.

Dassault's strategy for Rafale sales has faced criticism for being focused on short-term gains. The company's insistence on high profit margins and its reluctance to share technology or reduce costs has reportedly created frustration among customers. India's Rafale deal, for example, did not include substantial offsets or local production, requiring New Delhi to bear the full cost of any upgrades.

By contrast, South Korea and India are promoting the KF-21 and Tejas Mk2 with more adaptable terms, including technology transfers and co-production agreements. These incentives could be decisive for air forces with limited budgets.

As global defence spending becomes more constrained, nations are increasingly prioritizing value for money. The Rafale's premium image may have been sufficient in a less competitive market, but with the KF-21 and Tejas Mk2 entering the scene, potential buyers now have alternative options that do not require such a significant financial commitment.
 
Contract value without GST is about $42m/jet for MK1A. Kindly share the source for $80m per jet.

As far as Mk2 is concerned, we have to wait for it to fly, ideally to be inducted, which is a good 5+ years away. Realistically, we may not have spare capacity for exports. The IAF chief says we need 40 jets per year.

Will it undercut Rafale globally? I doubt it. Will it undercut Rafale in India? Most likely.
Single Tejas MK1A plain vanilla price is 340 Cr in 2023, but with weapon package, infrastructure, maintenance, & other things may be for roughly 10 years which include 45,000Cr for 83 Tejas MK1A.
 
This is the key point to take note of here. Dassault's obsession with high profit margins, reluctance to share technology, and unwillingness to offer negotiated lower costs have been to the great disadvantage of India, which has been a long-time loyal customer. The French have tasted big money from India, so they think sharing technology will lose an easy but repeat customer forever. India should abstain from buying from the French.
Dassault as well as Safran should be kept out of fighter jet projects. They just want to milk money. Mirage-2000, denying integration of latest AESA radar/sensors, Meteor-like weapons on it, & Kaveri engine, an offset clause of 36 Rafale deal, is a good example.
 
If KF21 is as good or near good to Rafale & less expensive with open architecture & near to MK2 why then IAF should not think of adding 4/5 squadron as it will also be eassy to maintain & delivered quickly as Rafale has huge pending orders & France have not fulfilled there commitment of offset contracts
 
India can definitely create and develop a jet that equals the Rafale in combat, weapons and capabilities by the Tejas MK2 jet. In the near future the AMCA will outperform both in its lethality and capability.

Its technology will be advanced and the only weakness with Tejas MK2 is its lower flight/combat range and the number of hard points and weapons it can carry as the Rafale jet can carry more.

Also the writer has made a big mistake. The first rafale deal had a 50% offset clause so the final price is around $4.4 billion.

The expensive price tag is because these are nuclear strike jets which can deliver it and safely return without feeling the effects like the electromagnetic pulse which kills anything electrical within its range. Also the jet, weapons, capabilities and equipment are more advanced than other jets which gives us a major advantage over the enemy.

The main reason why dassault is reluctant to manufacture it in India is because HAL lacks the amount of highly skilled workers, experience, development, knowledge, educated staff, correct manufacturing facilities, heavy manufacturing equipment, upkeep issues, amount and type of critical technology given, amount of local production allowed, type and weapons integration, accepting liability, warranty, guarantee etc for any jet that was manufactured by HAL. This is why we have to import them directly which works out to be cheaper in the long term despite manufacturing it locally.
 
I believe it's possible that the South Korean jet will attract export contracts, but I just don't see that happening with the Tejas Mk-2 due to HAL's shoddy and inefficient work culture. It will be surprising if they even manage to cater to the IAF's needs, let alone export sales.
It's confirmed Tejas Mk2 will be built by private firms.
 
I can see French meltdown.

F-35 is very much on the table now. Su-57 is still not fully finished. One can talk about it only hypothetically. So, hypothetically, if finished, it will challenge both Rafale and F-35. All in all, French dominance in MRFA is substantially eroded. And the French can blame only themselves... exorbitant acquisition costs and exploitative ToT and upgrades. They have been sparring with TKM for the level of ToT in the proposed submarine deal, which the French didn't even qualify for.

Tell your master to make amends, or else they'll lose.
Well, I don't have a master, and if I did, they'd be the folks in New Delhi and not Paris, as you seem to believe.

Regardless, I have never said the French fulfilled the ToT terms, and have agreed repeatedly that the Mirage 2000 upgrades were a case of us getting fleeced by France.

However, I am also going to look at all sides of an argument before I draw my conclusions rather than get drawn into hating or bashing some nation beyond reason.

Want to try your rebuff again?
 
Contract value without GST is about $42m/jet for MK1A. Kindly share the source for $80m per jet.

As far as Mk2 is concerned, we have to wait for it to fly, ideally to be inducted, which is a good 5+ years away. Realistically, we may not have spare capacity for exports. The IAF chief says we need 40 jets per year.

Will it undercut Rafale globally? I doubt it. Will it undercut Rafale in India? Most likely.
Right, the source is the DAC approval statement and some simple math. Bear with me for a minute here.

The DAC approval came in late 2023, and approved 97 Tejas Mk 1A jets for, at that time, Rs. 65,000 crores. That comes to Rs. 670.1 crores per jet. Looking at the USD to INR exchange rate for the period, this was about 83.3. Therefore, the per jet cost comes to just over 80.4 million USD per jet.

Next, as reported last April when the tender was issued to HAL, this put the cost at around Rs. 67,000 crores for 97 jets, or 690.72 crore INR per jet. Exchange rates around this time were at about 83.4, so this comes to just over 82.8 million USD per jet.

As for GST and other such stuff, two things: Firstly, any GST credit would come to HAL, and this will not necessarily be passed on to the MoD and IAF, especially considering that such taxes have been levied in the past. Secondly, if you are trying to look at export sales, you most definitely are going to charge GST to any customer, so that figure is what it is.

Simply put, the Tejas Mk 1A will be costing upwards of 80-82 million USD per jet for the IAF. Yes, this figure would include some spares and ground infrastructure, but a lot of things would be over and above that. Therefore, expecting the Tejas Mk 2 to cost 65 million USD is lunacy.
 
I believe it's possible that the South Korean jet will attract export contracts, but I just don't see that happening with the Tejas Mk-2 due to HAL's shoddy and inefficient work culture. It will be surprising if they even manage to cater to the IAF's needs, let alone export sales.
Tejas Mk2 can easily get good contracts from countries like Brazil and Vietnam, etc. They don't need to rely on "fly-by" condition. They could potentially localize the production line in their countries and probably make their version of Tejas Mk2 better than what IAF gets, simply because of more efficient manufacturing and production. FYI, HAL is just a manufacturer, but they didn't design Tejas; it was ADA whose job is design and prototypes. But yes, any country which agrees to consider Tejas will always look for licensed local assembly, either with or without ToT, rather than trusting HAL.
 
Are we still going to keep up this charade that the Tejas Mk 2 will somehow cost only 50-60 million USD apiece? We are paying just north of 80 million USD apiece for the Tejas Mk 1A (in the 97 aircraft order). The Tejas Mk 2 will be more expensive.

Oh, and the Rafale actually has massive export sales, and the KF-21 has massive export interest. The Tejas Mk 2 has neither, and in a world where you have stuff like the Gripen E, F-16V, KF-21, J-10, and others, the Tejas Mk 2 is going to have a difficult time finding export customers, especially given the fact that it is still 7-8 years away from induction and HAL is renowned for its inefficiency.
Any fighter jet, 4th or 5th gen, that is available today is at least 50% cheaper than the Rafale, including the F-35. The engine is the main expense for the Tejas MK2; once we have an indigenous engine, then the cost will drop to $45-50Mln.
 
Tejas wouldn't be allowed to be sold with GE engine, there will be a immediate veto as it will compete with F16.
 
Kf21 is not ready while Tejas mk2 only comes in TOY variants, there isn't even a prototype of this aircraft.
 
Any fighter jet, 4th or 5th gen, that is available today is at least 50% cheaper than the Rafale, including the F-35. The engine is the main expense for the Tejas MK2; once we have an indigenous engine, then the cost will drop to $45-50Mln.
Sir, I highly doubt that. Hear me out. As it stands, the F414 is set to cost us around 15 million USD each. Therefore, even with an indigenous engine, the cost cannot reduce by more than 15 million USD. If anything, the cost reduction will be lower, since the indigenous engine will also cost something. For the Tejas Mk 1A, this would bring costs down to 70-ish million USD each. Therefore, again, there can be no question of the Tejas Mk 2 costing 45-50 million USD, even with an indigenous engine.

Of course, if you look at just the barebones cost, then that is possible, but barebones costs are generally not a good metric to look at unless you are buying a jet in truly massive (several hundred) numbers.
 
Tejas is not fully on the line of production but once it get in to that stage and our requirements are met , will be available for export. Now Rafale price tag is highest when compared even with F35 because , F35 has export restrictions and rafale has none. The other attractions for Tejas and KF 21 are they are on open architecture and may not cost extra for integration of new weapons. Once Tejas comes on to the market, the scenario may change, of course it will be at least 10 years away
 
KF-21 yes, but Tejas Mk-2 I won't believe unless and until there's some tangible and quantifiable progress is seen in real world.
 
our Airforce is low in jets and may float a tender for 114 jets , Mk2 Tejas is no where in sight due to some retractable air to air refuelling probe to make it stealth issue that HAL cant resolve.
So by 2030 we may get it but what export of whats not wvwn present is philosophical debate .China and Pakistan have a production line of jets that may be not okay but do sell. In any we are nowhere near China, that by means of industrial espionage, lots of Israeli help has now gained a lot of own produced aircaft power, its builts its own heavy lifter aircarft recently. China cant be tackled just by talk ,need to shell out money now and may be this same Rafaels in plenty for Airforce and Navy so some 10 squadron come up for air ,sea and land , F35 B is also a pipe dream so this pricey jet is the only way to some firepower and maybe Gripen too can be taken in as they do allow production but engines are in US hands , which is not the case of French, who are independent, so back to Rafael.
 

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