Analysis IAF Modernization Remains Critically Stalled by Indecision while Pakistan Aggressively Pursues 5th-Gen Fighters

IAF Modernization Remains Critically Stalled by Indecision while Pakistan Aggressively Pursues 5th-Gen Fighters


Crucial modernization initiatives for the Indian Air Force (IAF) are encountering major roadblocks, sparking significant concern over India's air superiority in a region where the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) is making rapid advancements in next-generation combat aircraft.

According to defence analysts, a persistent state of indecision and bureaucratic delay within India's defence establishment is stalling vital projects, threatening to create a critical capability gap with its neighbour.

The most prominent example of this stagnation is the Multi-Role Fighter Aircraft (MRFA) programme, a plan to acquire 114 modern jets to reverse the IAF's shrinking squadron numbers.

The force is currently operating with approximately 31 squadrons against a sanctioned requirement of 42, a shortfall that impacts its ability to manage a potential two-front conflict.

Despite years of deliberations, a formal tender, or Request for Proposal (RFP), has not been issued. Experts note that even after an RFP is released, the procurement process, involving complex trials, negotiations, and approvals, could take several more years to conclude.

This slow pace extends to the indigenous defence sector, undermining the government's 'Atmanirbhar Bharat' policy. Key projects developed by Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) and the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) are awaiting firm support from the IAF.

For instance, the HAL Combat Air Teaming System (CATS) Warrior, a sophisticated "loyal wingman" drone designed to fly alongside manned fighters, is being developed primarily with HAL's own funding, lacking a formal commitment from the air force.

Likewise, other critical force multipliers like air-launched loitering munitions and new cruise missile systems are reportedly delayed due to a lack of prioritization and funding.

Further compounding the issue is the stalled progress in enhancing the IAF's mid-air refueling fleet. The ability to refuel fighter jets in the air is essential for extending their operational range and time on station, a critical factor in modern warfare.

However, repeated attempts to procure new aerial tankers have failed to materialize, leaving the IAF to depend on its small, ageing fleet of Russian IL-78 refuelers and limiting its strategic reach.

In sharp contrast, the Pakistan Air Force is actively modernizing.

It has formally joined Turkey's ambitious 5th-generation fighter programme, the TAI KAAN, with Pakistani engineers actively participating in the development. This collaboration, under Pakistan's "Project Azm," aims to induct a stealth fighter by the end of the decade.

Furthermore, the PAF has already strengthened its fleet with the induction of Chinese-made J-10C 'Vigorous Dragon' fighters, which are considered 4.5-generation aircraft, providing a significant technological upgrade.

The divergence in momentum is a source of growing alarm. While India's domestic defence industry shows potential with advanced platforms like the CATS Warrior, the absence of timely decision-making and financial backing from the IAF is hindering their development and induction.

If these critical modernization programmes are not expedited, analysts warn that the Indian Air Force risks falling behind an increasingly capable adversary, potentially altering the strategic balance in the region.
 
It's too late for us and Pakistan is a failed military so totally useless as we need to see China now .
 
It's too late for us and Pakistan is a failed military so totally useless as we need to see China now .
Yes agree! But China is a Copy-Cat Factory who somehow put things into work as we saw their failure in OP Sindoor through a Begger country "Porkistan".
We are 🚀🇮🇳भारत and we were, are and will always remain different from rest of the world.
Let me give a example of USA....
Look F35-B of USA. What it is on paper and western media and what are its actual real time situation and its overall track record.
🧲All F series fighter jets of America doesn't have super cruise capability except f22.
🧲Thay can be eaesily tracked and locked by our 4th gen SU30 MKIs earlier than their so called 5th gen.
🧲But they forced their Falcons to other countries as there is nothing like them.
🇮🇳Bharat is now emerging as never before and others don't like it. That's why all what is happening around the world the 5th gen race hype and 6th gen race as well.
🧲🚀🇮🇳Bharat has its own way of doing work.
🧲Our 4th Gens are much better than their 5th Gens in so many ways.
So don't worry this much...
जय हिंद🇮🇳🚀🚀🚀
 
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Yes agree! But China is a Copy-Cat Factory who somehow put things into work as we saw their failure in OP Sindoor through a Begger country "Porkistan".
We are 🚀🇮🇳भारत and we were, are and will always remain different from rest of the world.
Let me give a example of USA....
Look f35B of USA. What it is on paper and on western media and what are its actual real time situation and its overall track record. All F series fighter jets of America doesn't have super cruise capability except f22. Thay can be eaesily tracked and locked by our 4th gen SU30 MKIs earlier than their so called 5th gen. But they forced their Falcons to other countries as there is nothing like them.
Bharat is now emerging as never before and others don't like it. That's why all what is happening around the world the 5th gen race hype and 6th gen race as well.
Bharat has its own way of doing work. Our 4th Gens are much better from their 5th Gens in so many ways.
So don't worry this much...
जय हिंद🇮🇳🚀🚀🚀
Not worried at all , but the slow pace of modernization and delays by Western countries is not okay and the home grown projects too have. Critical component like engin from West , so we are late ,but never too late to make amends.
 
Procrastination is the hallmark at the defence ministry (no offence intended).
Maybe the reason is out-moded procedures which need a desperate relook by the political masters. Maybe its due to trying to ensure that CAG doesn't have adverse comments ! Maybe they don't want to change on account of earlier kickback culture.

Maybe the RFP or the tender (which follows the RFP, which in turn is followed by user-trials) was NOT issued due to various reasons outside the MOD. Maybe an informal decision was already taken on an unbeatable offer on a 'stop-gap fix/solution', for our MRFA, like the Su-57.; for its licence-manufacture.

The HAL built CATS (Combat Air Teaming System) hasn't been sold so far. Maybe the DRDO and HAL have not been able to sell this to the Air Force. Drones (not that I know of) can't fly wingman to a fighter. They can be in the general vicinity and are referred to as CCA (Collaberative Combat Aircraft), whose roles include surveillance, jamming, semi-independent attacks and even protecting the fighter aircraft.

'Nagastra" is a loitering munition, being built at Bengaluru in collaboration with an Israeli company.

'Project Vishnu' (aka ET-LDHCM, Extended Tragectory-Long Duration Hypersonic Cruise Missile) - is in the offing - it has a strike range of 1,500 kms.

Suitable air-refuelling tanker aircraft are being looked for, for quite a while now.

The Chinese/Pak J-10C is a near copy of the Israeli 'Lavi' (though no one admits it). It is also, like the Rafale a 4.5 gen fighter. The twin-engines of the Rafale and its versatility with regard to roles make it a better bet.

For the record, the IAF has minimal financial powers and all large outgoes are handled by MOD or on a Govt-to-Govt basis.

All in all, I'd say that our future isn't bleak.
 
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